New evidence for Planet 9
Evidence is growing that a planet the size of Neptune – Planet 9 – is hiding deep in the outskirts of our solar system. Researchers from Caltech, Université Côte d’Azur and Southwest Research Institute shared a pre-print article on April 17, 2024. In it, they claim that a group of small bodies outside Neptune are converging due to the gravitational influence of Planet 9. These distant bodies in the Solar System are not evenly distributed in their orbit, like the boulders of the asteroid belt. Instead, they form clumpy groups. So the researchers think that a larger, more distant object is pushing them into this pattern due to gravity. And so, planet eight – Neptune – was essentially discovered. Neptune tugged at Uranus’ orbit.
Two of the four authors of the new paper, Konstantin Batygin and Mike Brown of Caltech, are the founders of the theory of Planet 9. Mike Brown even wrote a book about his life and research at the outer edges of our solar system, including its reclassification from Pluto. The book is titled How I Killed Pluto and Why It Had It Coming. But these researchers believe there is an object much larger than Pluto further out in our solar neighborhood. This planet would be the size of five Earths (about the size of Neptune) and 400 to 800 times further from the Sun than Earth.
The astrophysical diary letters has accepted the article for publication. It has not yet been peer-reviewed. A copy of the article is available on arXiv.
Help spread the wonders of astronomy! Please donate to EarthSky.org now and help ensure people around the world can learn about the night sky and our universe.
Batygin on Event Horizon podcast
Batygin said on John Michael Godier’s Event Horizon podcast that this is:
…the fifth and most statistically significant evidence we have yet for the existence of Planet 9.
Batygin also said:
What we have been looking at in this article is a population of Trans-Neptunian objects that we had previously ignored. These are populations of long-period icy asteroid-like creatures that generally live outside Neptune’s orbit… but have orbits that pierce Neptune’s orbit. We also looked specifically at the population of Neptune crossers that live close to the plane of the solar system.
So because the objects cross Neptune’s orbit and are pushed around by the giant planet, they would have scattered if left alone. As Batygin said:
The fact that we see them at all requires some form of gravitational influence. …What we show in this paper is that not only is Planet 9 up to this task, but the orbital distribution that Planet 9 predicts is perfectly consistent with what we see in the data.
Batygin even said that a solar system without Planet 9 can be ruled out with five sigma certainty. This value is considered sufficient for areas such as particle physics to call it a discovery. It is a ‘gold standard’, equivalent to a one in a million chance that the result was random.
Planet 9, galactic tide or black hole?
Besides Planet 9, are there any other theories that could explain the clustering of the Trans-Neptunian objects? One of those theories concerns the galactic tide. And the researchers looked at this gravity of the galaxy itself. But they found that some features of object distribution cannot be reproduced with the galactic tide. However, the Planet 9 theory fit perfectly.
Another theory, not discussed in the article, is that Planet 9 could be a black hole instead. If black holes are roaming the distant solar system, Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb has proposed a way to look for them. They looked for flashes of light from encounters between black holes and small, distant objects.
The upcoming Vera Rubin Observatory could be the instrument to provide the crucial data to solve the mystery of Planet 9 or the solar system’s black holes. The telescope should be operational in early 2025.
Unfortunately, the new data from the recent research doesn’t help us figure out the direction in which to point our telescopes at Planet 9. So the hunt continues.
Social media announcement
Here’s how lead author Konstantin Batygin announced the discovery on social media:
An important early clue to Planet 9 emerged almost a decade ago: objects in the Kuiper Belt with a large perihelion cluster together. Gravitational scattering from Neptune disrupts this pattern, so the focus remained on dynamically stable (Sedna-like) TNOs, ignoring the unstable TNOs. pic.twitter.com/YNZ0Yrauy3
— Konstantin Batygin (@kbatygin) April 18, 2024
Given their dynamical instability, only two scenarios can keep this population of TNOs in a steady state: they are either driven inward by the interaction between the galactic tide and Neptune’s scattering, or they are the result of the dynamics caused by Planet 9 (as shown in the figure ). pic.twitter.com/HBEqm0UO9J
— Konstantin Batygin (@kbatygin) April 18, 2024
But what about observational bias? After correcting for this, the data favors the Planet 9 model by a noticeable 5 sigma level. Surprisingly, this ‘non-exotic’ group of TNOs provides the strongest statistical evidence yet that Planet 9 really exists… pic.twitter.com/LksVpOyfS1
— Konstantin Batygin (@kbatygin) April 18, 2024
Bottom line: Researchers said the buildup of small objects beyond Neptune’s orbit fits perfectly with the existence of a planet 9 hiding at the edge of our solar system.
Source: Generation of low-inclination Neptune-crossing TNOs by Planet Nine
Via Event Horizon